60%
Home advantage
England's win rate at home since 2022 under Stokes is over 80%. Lord's and Edgbaston conditions suit their pace bowlers.
Series Predictions at a Glance
Our predictions for the full New Zealand tour of England, June 2026.
- Predicted series winner
- England
- Predicted series scoreline
- England 2โ1 New Zealand
- 2nd Test (Jun 17โ21)
- England win by 150 runs
- 3rd Test (Jun 25โ29)
- New Zealand win โ NZ fight back
- Predicted top England batter
- Joe Root
- Predicted top NZ batter
- Tom Latham
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
England
2โ1
Predicted series result
๐ณ๐ฟ
New Zealand
England vs New Zealand 2026 Test Schedule
Three-match Test series as part of the 2025โ2027 ICC World Test Championship cycle.
| Test | Dates | Venue | Our Pick | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Test | Jun 4โ8, 2026 | Headingley, Leeds | England won | Completed |
| 2nd Test | Jun 17โ21, 2026 | Lord's, London | England by 150 runs | Tomorrow |
| 3rd Test | Jun 25โ29, 2026 | Edgbaston, Birmingham | New Zealand win | Upcoming |
2nd Test Prediction: England vs New Zealand at Lord's
June 17โ21 ยท Lord's Cricket Ground, London ยท Starts 11:00 AM BST
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
England
WWDWW
Eng win
by ~150 runs
๐ณ๐ฟ
New Zealand
WLDWL
Medium confidence
Full match preview โ
Why England win at Lord's
- England's aggressive Bazball approach turns Lord's into an attacking venue โ they score at 4.5+ runs per over
- Pitch at Lord's typically has uneven bounce; England's batting depth copes better than touring sides
- New Zealand won the 1st Test series opener vs India in 2024 but have struggled on consecutive away Tests
- Ben Stokes' captaincy record at home: 9 wins from 11 home Tests since 2022
3rd Test Prediction: England vs New Zealand at Edgbaston
June 25โ29 ยท Edgbaston, Birmingham ยท Series decider with England leading 2-0 (1st Test result factored in)
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ
England
WWDWW
NZ win
by ~80 runs
๐ณ๐ฟ
New Zealand
WLDWL
Lean
NZ bounce-back expected with series still alive
Series Prediction: England to Win 2โ1
England are predicted to win the series 2-1, confirming their position as the dominant Test force at home under Stokes. New Zealand are no pushover โ their last tour of England ended 3-0 to the hosts in 2023 โ but the Bazball aggression and home condition advantage is too much to overcome across three Tests.
25%
Batting depth
England bat down to No. 8 with intent. New Zealand's batting is reliant on their top four holding form.
15%
Bowling variety
England's pace trio + a spinner vs NZ's touring attack โ England have the edge in English conditions.
Series key battles
| Battle | England edge | NZ edge |
|---|---|---|
| Opening partnership | Crawley-Duckett aggression | Latham's experience |
| Middle order | Root's consistency | Conway's solidity |
| Pace bowling | Home conditions, swing | Neil Wagner's short-pitch |
| Spin | Shoaib Bashir on turning tracks | Limited NZ spin options |
| Captaincy | Stokes' declaration tactics | Latham's defensive setup |
Team Profiles: England & New Zealand
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ England
The home side โ tournament-hardened Bazball
Batting
Crawley, Duckett, Pope, Root, Brook, Stokes โ the deepest aggressive batting lineup in world cricket. Targets 90+ overs at 4.5+ runs-per-over.
Bowling
Anderson may be absent after 2024 retirement โ but Robinson, Broad's successor crop, and Stuart Broad's departure has been offset by younger seamers in English conditions.
Prediction edge
Home record is dominant. Bazball means 1-day draws become wins; England target decisive results in all conditions.
๐ณ๐ฟ New Zealand
The touring side โ structured and resilient
Batting
Latham, Conway, Williamson, Mitchell โ all capable of big hundreds. NZ's top-order average above 40 in away Tests is the best in the world.
Bowling
Neil Wagner's short-pitch assault, Matt Henry's swing โ a genuine threat on green English pitches that can outfox England's strokemakers.
Prediction edge
Most likely to win the 3rd Test when England relax with the series already safe โ classic NZ touring resilience.